Featured Comment: Seven possible championship outcomes | Brief

Andrea Kimi Antonelli, Mercedes, Hungaroring, 2026


How is the championship fight most likely to turn out over the remaining races? Steve Rogers assesses the chances of each of the leading drivers.

I can see several different scenarios:

50% – The balance of performance is largely unchanged from the fist half of the season and Kimi wins (covers just holding on to domination).

20% – McLaren’s Zandvoort updates confirm them as the car to beat and Norris puts in a champion’s display to defend his title.

10% – Ferrari find a consistent window and become the car to beat but ‘Ferrari’ it away with mistakes and baffling strategies (Kimi wins)
8% – Ferrari find a consistent window and become the car to beat and Hamilton continues his first half form to win
2% – Ferrari find a consistent window and become the car to beat and and Leclerc finally finds consistency to back up his speed

5% – Kimi has a Piastri run of form and Russell gets out of his funk to win

5% – 2010-level of chaos and we go into the last race with several of the above still in it.

As I like an underdog, I went with Leclerc.
Steve Rogers (@Yossarian)

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Published by

Keith Collantine


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